DISCUSSION PAPER PI-1111
Age-Dependent Investing: Optimal Funding and Investment Strategies in Defined Contribution Pension Plans when Members are Rational Life-Cycle Planners
David Blake, Douglas Wright, and Yumeng Zhang
A defined contribution pension plan allows consumption to be redistributed
from the plan
member’s working life to retirement in a manner that is consistent with
the member’s personal
preferences. The plan’s optimal funding and investment strategies therefore
depend on the
desired profile of consumption over the lifetime of the member. We investigate
these strategies
under the assumption that the member is a rational life cycle financial planner
and has an
Epstein-Zin utility function, which allows a separation between risk aversion
and the elasticity
of intertemporal substitution. We also take into account the member’s
human capital during the
accumulation phase of the plan and we allow the annuitisation decision to
be endogenously
determined during the decumulation phase.
We show that the optimal funding strategy involves a contribution rate that
is not constant over
the life of the plan but is age-dependent and reflects the trade-off between
the desire for current
versus future consumption, the desire for stable consumption over time, the
member’s attitude to
risk, and changes in the level of human capital over the life cycle. We also
show that the optimal
investment strategy during the accumulation phase of the plan is ‘stochastic
lifestyling’, with an
initial high weight in equity-type investments and a gradual switch into bond-type
investments
as the retirement date approaches in a way that depends on the realised outcomes
for the
stochastic processes driving the state variables. The optimal investment strategy
during the
decumulation phase of the plan is to exchange the bonds held at retirement
for life annuities and
then to gradually sell the remaining equities and buy more annuities, i.e.,
a strategy known as
‘phased annuitisation’.
Key words:- defined contribution pension plan, funding strategy, investment
strategy, Epstein-Zin utility,
stochastic lifestyling, phased annuitisation, dynamic programming.
